Week 2 recap, 2026
Every game of the week, most exciting first. The scoreboard has them in kickoff order. Excitement is how far win probability swung over the game, play by play, in either direction.
Ranked by excitement
| Rank | Game | Label | Excitement | Winner's low | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND 30 at KC 33 OT | Thriller | 9.65 | 10.1% | Win probability |
| 2 | PHI 24 at TEN 20 | Thriller | 7.64 | 21.9% | Win probability |
| 3 | MIN 9 at CHI 3 | 5.97 | 33.9% | Win probability | |
| 4 | GB 20 at NYJ 17 OT | Comeback | 5.92 | 8.2% | Win probability |
| 5 | CLE 23 at TB 19 | 5.77 | 14.9% | Win probability | |
| 6 | LV 26 at LAC 14 | 5.53 | 28.4% | Win probability | |
| 7 | JAX 13 at DEN 20 | 4.42 | 15.1% | Win probability | |
| 8 | NO 24 at BAL 17 | 4.33 | 10.1% | Win probability | |
| 9 | CIN 20 at HOU 6 | 3.58 | 29.5% | Win probability | |
| 10 | SEA 31 at ARI 7 | 3.51 | 40.1% | Win probability | |
| 11 | WAS 20 at DAL 37 | 2.93 | 54.6% | Win probability | |
| 12 | PIT 3 at NE 20 | 2.48 | 56.6% | Win probability | |
| 13 | CAR 34 at ATL 3 | 2.08 | 45.4% | Win probability | |
| 14 | NYG 6 at LAR 28 | 2.06 | 46.8% | Win probability | |
| 15 | DET 31 at BUF 41 | 2.01 | 52.6% | Win probability | |
| 16 | MIA 13 at SF 35 | 1.74 | 47.0% | Win probability |
How games are ranked
Excitement adds up every change in win probability, play by play, in either direction. A game that swung back and forth scores high; one decided early scores low. Overtime games are scaled to 60 minutes, so extra plays do not count as extra excitement.
The winner's low point is the smallest chance the eventual winner had at any moment.
- Comeback: the winner was down to a 10% chance or less.
- Thriller: excitement of 6.88 or more, the top 5% of games from 2019 to 2025.
- Shootout: 65 or more points, decided by 8 or fewer.
A game gets the first label it qualifies for. Win probability is nflfastR's, as published in nflverse play-by-play.