Week 6 recap, 2026
Every game of the week, most exciting first. The scoreboard has them in kickoff order. Excitement is how far win probability swung over the game, play by play, in either direction.
Ranked by excitement
| Rank | Game | Label | Excitement | Winner's low | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT 26 at TB 19 OT | Comeback | 7.20 | 4.5% | Win probability |
| 2 | HOU 34 vs JAX 31 | Shootout | 6.13 | 36.4% | Win probability |
| 3 | ARI 18 at LAR 16 | 5.92 | 33.0% | Win probability | |
| 4 | BUF 33 at LV 30 | 5.05 | 29.3% | Win probability | |
| 5 | SEA 14 at DEN 17 OT | 4.91 | 48.2% | Win probability | |
| 6 | TEN 26 at IND 20 | Comeback | 4.73 | 7.6% | Win probability |
| 7 | BAL 10 at CLE 13 | 4.26 | 14.4% | Win probability | |
| 8 | NO 34 at NYG 27 | 4.23 | 14.8% | Win probability | |
| 9 | CAR 25 at PHI 14 | 4.22 | 45.4% | Win probability | |
| 10 | WAS 17 at SF 23 | 3.74 | 54.1% | Win probability | |
| 11 | NYJ 19 at NE 26 | 3.63 | 43.1% | Win probability | |
| 12 | LAC 6 at KC 22 | 3.06 | 52.3% | Win probability | |
| 13 | CHI 31 at ATL 23 | 2.70 | 42.2% | Win probability | |
| 14 | DAL 13 at GB 23 | 2.54 | 53.8% | Win probability |
How games are ranked
Excitement adds up every change in win probability, play by play, in either direction. A game that swung back and forth scores high; one decided early scores low. Overtime games are scaled to 60 minutes, so extra plays do not count as extra excitement.
The winner's low point is the smallest chance the eventual winner had at any moment.
- Comeback: the winner was down to a 10% chance or less.
- Thriller: excitement of 6.88 or more, the top 5% of games from 2019 to 2025.
- Shootout: 65 or more points, decided by 8 or fewer.
A game gets the first label it qualifies for. Win probability is nflfastR's, as published in nflverse play-by-play.